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Trump Envoys Reveal Diesel Deal With Russia Is Designed to Restart Ukraine Peace Talks

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U.S. envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff told Ukrainian officials at a meeting at an exclusive golf club near Miami on Friday that a recently announced deal allowing Russia to export more than 2.25 million barrels of diesel, enabled by a U.S. Treasury sanctions waiver, is designed to soften Moscow's position and bring Russia back to the negotiating table. The envoys were candid that Putin is currently unwilling to negotiate an end to the 4.5-year-old war, and that the deal signals Trump is open to doing business with Russia as a way to coax the Kremlin toward trilateral talks. A source close to the Kremlin said Putin will only come to the table once Russia controls the remaining 11 percent of Donbas it does not yet hold. Washington separately pressed Kyiv to halt strikes on Russian refineries.

Russia's Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said government-level supply talks are underway and projected that Russia could reach 3 to 3.5 million tons of diesel exports by year-end, with Moscow saying it could ship 500,000 tons to foreign markets in the near term. Novak also noted that Russia has supplied energy worth $21.3 billion to the European Union so far this year and that Russian companies are in active discussions with buyers. OPEC+ ministers, meeting on the sidelines of the Riyadh conference, separately warned that the current interruption in energy flows has pushed shipping and insurance costs to unprecedented levels.

The deal has drawn sharp criticism from Ukraine, European officials, and members of both U.S. parties. Republican lawmaker Mike Lawler said the U.S. should not do a diesel deal with Russia, and the arrangement is creating significant unease within the GOP just weeks before midterm elections that experts project could yield Democratic gains of nine to nineteen House seats. Former Vice President Kamala Harris said Trump's Russian fuel plan "reeks of weakness." Oil prices fell after Trump declared an energy ceasefire, and Oxford Economics expects Brent crude to average above $100 a barrel through the second quarter of 2027, citing persistent geopolitical risks.

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  1. FinancialjuiceOPEC+ Ministers: The current interruption in energy flows has led to shipping and insurance costs reaching unprecedented levels
  2. ThehillHarris: Trump’s Russian fuel plan ‘reeks of weakness’
  3. PiQMarketsUkraine drone strikes on Russian oil infrastructure: how to donate Following U.S. President Donald Trump's call to protect Russian oil refineries, Ukrainian military units are continuing long-range drone strikes on Russian energy infrastructure. Several organizations are accepting donations to support these efforts, including the 1st Separate Center of Unmanned Aerial Systems, Come Back Alive, the Sternenko Community Foundation, Unite with Ukraine, and the International Unity Movement, as well as Ukraine's official fundraising platform, United24.
  4. FirstSquawkOPEC+ MINISTERS, WHO MET ON THE SIDELINES OF THE RIYADH CONFERENCE, AFFIRM THE IMPORTANCE OF PROTECTING INTERNATIONAL MARITIME PASSAGES TO ENSURE THE CONTINUED FLOW OF ENERGY, A STATEMENT SAYS.
  5. ReutersUkrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy said Russia violated Trump's energy ceasefire, after Russian strikes hit a power plant in Kharkiv hours after the deal was announced
  6. Ny TimesAfter Russian Diesel Deal, Trump Faces New Crisis Over Ukraine
  7. BusinessTrump’s deal with Moscow on diesel exports and praise for Putin are the latest Russia-related developments drawing Republican criticism weeks before midterms increasingly favoring Democrats
  8. DeItaoneRUSSIA’S NOVAK ON DIESEL SUPPLY DEAL WITH TRUMP: THERE ARE TALKS BETWEEN GOVERNMENTS OF RUSSIA AND US ON SUPPLY
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  1. Cablefxmacro🛢️🇷🇺*NOVAK: POSSIBLE TO MAKE ADDITIONAL SUPPLY OF DIESEL TO GLOBAL MARKETS
  2. MarketwatchTrump’s ‘energy ceasefire’ collides with real-world problems of dwindling fuel supplies
  3. ZerohedgeSaudi Coalition Intercepts More Missiles On Riyadh
  4. Osint613Saudi Arabia has opened an investigation into the failure of its air defenses during the Oct. 10 Houthi attack on Riyadh airport, AP reports. Initial findings point to drones arriving ahead of cruise and ballistic missiles, with early warning insufficient to prevent casualties.
  5. Unusual_WhalesBREAKING: Trump has said: "I will be giving all adult citizens in the US $5000. Democrat policies will not allow this happen... they will raise your taxes. If Democrats win, you will have an ecomomic depression. If Republicans win, you will have $5000 in your pocket."
  6. FINANCIERNEWS📉 Trump (@realDonaldTrump)'s 25% Economic Approval Sinks to 7th Percentile Ahead of Midterms Only 25% of registered voters approve of Trump's handling of the economy, an FT-Focaldata poll shows, weeks before midterm elections where experts project Democratic gains of 9 to 19 House seats. #Elections
  7. ErinBancoNEW: Trump says he thinks Putin is ready to make a deal. In a meeting in Miami Friday, Kushner told the Ukrainians that Putin was not in a position to negotiate/ talk and that the diesel deal was part of a broader effort to “soften” Moscow and get them to the table.
  8. _MorkieENERGY DESK: Oil tumbled after Trump declared a Russia-Ukraine energy ceasefire, facing immediate bipartisan blowback over plans to import Russian diesel. 🛢️📉🇺🇸
  9. OpinionWhat does the GOP stand to gain (or lose) in the midterm elections, just three weeks away? And will Trump be an asset or a liability to the party? 🎥 Tune in Tuesday @ 8:30 AM as @TimOBrien discusses LIVE with @MaryEllenKlas and @DavidMDrucker
  10. LiveSquawkUS Pres Trump: Zelenskyy And Putin Have To Get Together, End War - Think Putin, Zelenskyy Both Support Energy Ceasefire
  11. WsjWhy Trump’s Diesel-Supply Deal With Russia Won’t Ease Fuel Prices Much
  12. NoamRaydanBrief note: Over 20 ship attacks have been recorded in the Strait of Hormuz and surrounding waterways since Sept 28. Most involved tankers. This month alone (Oct), there have been at least 18 ship attacks, plus at least two hailing incidents. These figures include the time-late reports posted by UKMTO and others. UKMTO isn’t the only entity receiving time-late reports. The latest attacks will be added to the @WashInstitute map soon. In the meantime, check the interactive map in yesterday’s thread below for other details. This map tracks maritime attacks and incidents in the MENA region since 2017. #Shipping #OOTT #IranWar‌
  13. AshCrypto🇺🇸 PRESIDENT TRUMP JUST NOW: "We have the best stock market in history."
  14. DisclosetvNOW - Trump says that Russia and Ukraine "agreed [to a ceasefire] because I said they agreed."
  15. Archer83AbleREPORTER: You said Russia and Ukraine agreed to a ceasefire but both sides said they have not agreed to that. US PRESIDENT TRUMP: Well, they agreed. You know why? Because I said: "you agree." That's why. They agreed because I said they agreed.
  16. JesseCohenInvReporter: You said Russia and Ukraine agreed to a ceasefire but both sides say they have not. Trump: They agree. You know why? Because I said you agree. That’s why. They agreed because I said they agreed.
  17. BullTheoryioBREAKING: 🇺🇸 President Trump says, “Putin wants to make a deal more than Zelenskyy does”.