Market Flux Event

Canada GDP Flatlines in July and August With September Contraction Signaled

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Canada's economy stalled for a second consecutive month in August, following zero growth in July, and Statistics Canada's early data points to a slight contraction in September, capping a sharp deterioration in the third quarter. The back-to-back flat readings, combined with the anticipated September dip, stand in stark contrast to the 3.3% annualized expansion Canada posted in the second quarter of 2026.

The August result came in below Statistics Canada's preliminary estimate of 0.2% monthly growth, with gains in mining and quarrying only partially offsetting declines in oil and gas extraction. The September flash estimate, pointing to a modest contraction, suggests the third quarter as a whole will register only a fraction of the momentum seen in the spring.

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Sources

  1. BNNBloomberg#BREAKING: Statistics Canada says the economy stalled for a second month in a row in August, and early estimates suggest growth declined in September.
  2. InvestingCanada’s economy stagnates for second month as September contraction looms
  3. WsjCanada GDP Seen Dipping in September After Two Flat Months