Macro News
The latest Macro coverage from hundreds of sources, newest first.
Macro news covers the economic data and policy decisions that move markets as a whole.
Stories here include inflation reports, jobs numbers, GDP, retail sales, manufacturing and services surveys, and the central bank and government decisions that respond to them. The monthly US jobs report and consumer price index are the two releases that most often set the direction for stocks, bonds and the dollar on the day they come out. Coverage is global: Chinese growth and stimulus, eurozone inflation, Japanese wage data and the forecasts of the IMF and the World Bank all appear here, along with fiscal news such as budget deals, debt ceiling standoffs and changes to sovereign credit ratings.
A story is listed here when our topic model tags it Macro. Each story's page links to the reports it draws on.
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- Market Flux Event
US Dollar Surges to 19-Month High as Hot CPI and Fed Rate-Hike Bets Drive Broad Rally
The US dollar climbed to a 19-month high on Wednesday, with the dollar index (DXY) posting a 1.5-week peak after gaining 0.60% on Tuesday, as hotter-than-expected October CPI data and…
- Market Flux Event
Bundesbank Chief and German Economic Council Both Signal Stronger Than Expected Recovery
Germany's economic rebound is gaining more momentum than officials anticipated just months ago, according to two of the country's most prominent economic voices. Bundesbank President…
- Market Flux Event
Hapag-Lloyd Raises Full-Year Outlook for Third Time as Freight Rates Stay Strong
Hapag-Lloyd lifted its full-year earnings guidance for the third time in 2026 on November 11, citing sustained strength in freight rates and a fourth quarter developing better than…
- Market Flux Event
China Pledges Unconditional Support for Cuba Against Sanctions and External Interference
Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi told his Cuban counterpart in Beijing on November 11, 2026 that China will firmly support Cuba in safeguarding its national sovereignty and opposing…
- Market Flux Event
Hot October CPI Sends Fed Hike Odds to 96% and Rocks Markets from Crypto to Bonds
A hotter-than-expected US inflation reading for October 2026 sent shockwaves across global markets, dramatically repricing Federal Reserve rate expectations and triggering broad selling in…
- Market Flux Event
Germany October Inflation Confirmed at 2.8% as Final CPI Matches Forecasts
Germany's final October inflation reading confirmed a continued easing in price pressures, with both the national CPI and the EU-harmonized HICP holding at 2.8% year-on-year, exactly in…
- Top Story
On Holding Shares Slide Despite Record Q3 Sales as Tariff Refund Clouds Profit Beat
On Holding AG reported record third-quarter net sales of CHF 931.4 million on November 10, up 17.2% year-over-year and roughly in line with analyst estimates, but shares fell as much as…
- Market Flux Event
Bank of Canada Minutes Reveal Policymakers Saw Rate Hike as Necessary Despite Uncertainty
The Bank of Canada released minutes from its October 28 governing council meeting showing that senior policymakers agreed a rate increase was prudent even amid elevated uncertainty and the…
- Top Story
Bitcoin Drops to Three-Month Low Below $73,000 as Hot CPI Revives Fed Rate Hike Fears
Bitcoin fell below $73,000 on Tuesday, November 10, touching its lowest level since late August, after October consumer price index data showed a hotter-than-expected 0.4% monthly rise and…
- Market Flux Event
ECB Chief Economist Lane Signals December Rate Hike Is Prudent If Data Hold
European Central Bank Chief Economist Philip Lane said it would be prudent to raise interest rates again in December if incoming economic data do not shift materially from their current…
- Market Flux Event
Hot October CPI Locks In December Fed Hike and Puts 50-Basis-Point Move on the Table
US consumer prices rose 0.4% month over month in October, topping the 0.3% consensus estimate and cementing expectations for a Federal Reserve rate increase at its December 9 meeting. Core…
- Market Flux Event
Gold Holds Near $4,130 Ahead of US CPI Report as Lower Oil Eases Inflation Fears
Gold steadied near $4,130 in early Asian trade on November 10, holding gains above the $4,100 level as a retreat in crude oil prices eased concerns about inflation and tighter monetary…
- Market Flux Event
Japan Household Spending Plunges 6.8% in September as BOJ Members Signal Faster Rate Hikes
Japan's household spending fell 6.8% in September from a year earlier, far exceeding the median forecast of a 3.0% to 3.8% decline and nearly double the 3.1% drop recorded in August. On a…
- Market Flux Event
US Treasury Sells $58 Billion in 3-Year Notes at 4.627% Yield, Well Below Prior Auction
The U.S. Treasury sold $58 billion in 3-year notes Monday at a high yield of 4.627%, a sharp drop from the 4.932% recorded at the previous auction. The result came in 0.5 basis points above…
- Market Flux Event
Fed's Goolsbee Warns Services Inflation Is Kicking Up Ahead of October CPI Report
Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee delivered a stark assessment Monday morning, saying services inflation is beginning to kick up and calling inflation the Fed's big problem. He went…
- Top Story
Richmond Fed's Barkin Flags Inflation as Top Risk, Urges Careful Rate Path as Data Beats Forecasts
Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin said Monday that inflation remains the primary risk to the Federal Reserve's dual mandate, calling the direction of monetary policy "straightforward"…
- Market Flux Event
Germany September Exports Jump 2% but Surging Imports Slash Trade Surplus to 15.6 Billion Euros
Germany's trade data for September came in with sharply mixed signals. Exports rose 2.0% month-on-month on a seasonally adjusted basis, well ahead of the 0.5% forecast and a strong reversal…
- Market Flux Event
Japan Leading Index Falls to 116.4 in September, Missing Forecasts
Japan's Leading Index came in at 116.4 for September on a preliminary basis, falling short of the consensus estimate of 116.6 and down sharply from the prior reading of 118.0. The…
- Market Flux Event
China October PPI Surges to 5.7% as Consumer Inflation Cools Further
China's producer price index rose 5.7% year on year in October, beating the 5.3% forecast and accelerating from 5.0% in September, reaching its highest level since June 2022. The…
- Top Story
US Added 165,000 Jobs in October, More Than Doubling Forecasts and Reviving December Fed Rate Hike Odds
The US economy added 165,000 jobs in October, blowing past Wall Street estimates that ranged from roughly 59,000 to 70,000 depending on the survey, and topping every individual forecast on…
- Market Flux Event
Fed's Williams Signals Patience on Rates as Inflation Remains Too High and AI Adds to Price Pressures
New York Federal Reserve President John Williams, speaking at an ECB conference on Friday, described the US economy as remarkably resilient with strengthened growth and a stable labor…
- Market Flux Event
German Industrial Output Beats Monthly Forecasts but Misses Annual Target as European Data Sends Mixed Signals
German industrial production rose 0.7% month-on-month in September, beating the forecast of a 0.1% decline, though the annual pace slowed sharply to 0.4% year-on-year, well below the 1.2%…
- Market Flux Event
Japan PM Takaichi Plans to Direct BOJ ETF Sale Proceeds Toward Economic Security Spending
Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi has outlined plans to channel revenue from the Bank of Japan's accelerated ETF disposals into investments critical to Japan's economic security…
- Market Flux Event
Paraguay President Santiago Peña Resigns After Ueno Bank Collapse Freezes Millions of Accounts
Paraguayan President Santiago Peña stepped down Thursday as the collapse of Ueno Bank, a fast-growing digital lender, triggered a sweeping financial and political crisis. Peña announced his…
- Market Flux Event
US Jobless Claims Drop to Lowest Since July as Productivity Surges and Labor Costs Fall
The US labor market showed unexpected strength in the week ending October 31, with initial jobless claims falling 6,000 to 189,000, the lowest level since July. The print came in well below…
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- Top Story
Bank of England Raises Rates to 4% for First Time Since 2023, Warns Inflation Will Near 5%
The Bank of England raised its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 4.00% on Thursday, its first increase since August 2023, as the Iran war-driven energy shock pushed inflation…
- Market Flux Event
Sweden Inflation Misses Sharply in October, Weakening Case for Riksbank Rate Hike
Sweden's inflation cooled far more than expected in October, with the headline CPI rising 0.9% year on year against a consensus forecast of 1.2% and a prior reading of 1.1%. On a monthly…
- Market Flux Event
Australia September Trade Surplus Surges to A$2.83 Billion, Nearly Tripling Forecasts
Australia posted a September trade surplus of A$2,826 million, vastly exceeding the consensus estimate of around A$1,000 million and dwarfing the prior month's revised A$495 million…
- Market Flux Event
Bank of Japan September Minutes Back Further Rate Hikes as Bank of England Prepares First Increase in Three Years
Minutes from the Bank of Japan's September meeting, released on November 5, 2026, confirmed that board members agreed it was appropriate to continue raising the policy interest rate and to…
- Market Flux Event
US Treasury Sanctions Four Indian Individuals and Nine Companies Plus Turkish Firm for Supporting Iran
The U.S. Treasury Department on November 4, 2026 imposed sanctions on four India-based individuals and nine companies for supporting Iran's shadow fleet, while also designating Turkey-based…
- Market Flux Event
US Services and Composite PMI Readings Fall Short of Forecasts in October Final Print
The final October readings for US business activity came in below both expectations and preliminary estimates. The S&P Global Services PMI printed at 56.1, missing the forecast of 57.9 and…
- Market Flux Event
Eurozone Inflation Hits 4% for First Time in Three Years, Raising Pressure on ECB to Hike Again
Euro zone consumer prices rose to 4% in October, their highest level since September 2023, according to a flash estimate published Wednesday. The reading, in line with Reuters economist…
- Market Flux Event
New Zealand Unemployment Hits 11-Year High as Australia and China PMIs Signal Continued Weakness
New Zealand's labor market deteriorated sharply in the third quarter of 2026, with the unemployment rate rising to 5.7%, its highest level since 2015, exceeding the 5.5% forecast and edging…
- Market Flux Event
ECB Bundesbank Chief Nagel Says December Rate Hike Is Almost Unavoidable
Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel said on November 3 that another ECB interest-rate increase in December is very likely to be necessary, describing inflationary pressures as higher than…
- Market Flux Event
Bank of Canada Governor Warns of Worsening Inflation Outlook and Signals Possible Further Rate Hikes
Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem told MPs on November 3 that Canada's inflation outlook has deteriorated, driven primarily by persistent conflict in the Middle East pushing global oil…
- Market Flux Event
South Korea October Inflation Edges Down to 2.8% but Stays Above Central Bank Target
South Korea's consumer price index rose 2.8% year-over-year in October, easing from 2.9% in September and landing in line with most forecasts, though one source pegged the consensus at…
- Top Story
US ISM Manufacturing PMI Beats at 55.5 While S&P Global Final Reading Disappoints at 54.9
US manufacturing data for October delivered a split verdict on Monday. The ISM Manufacturing PMI rose to 55.5, topping the consensus estimate of 54.5 and September's reading of 54.5…
- Market Flux Event
BoE Set for First Rate Hike Since 2023 as BOJ Signals December Move and ECB Warns of More Tightening
The Bank of England is widely expected to raise its benchmark rate by 25 basis points to 4.00% on Thursday, its first increase since 2023 and a move that markets have priced in at 94.4%…
- Market Flux Event
Asia-Pacific Manufacturing PMIs Cool in October as South Korea Hits 8-Month Low
October manufacturing PMI data released across Asia on November 2 showed a broad softening in factory activity, with South Korea registering the sharpest decline. South Korea's S&P Global…
- Top Mover
Dell Stock Tumbles 12% as Intel Warning on PC Slump and Memory Shortage Hammers Hardware Sector
Dell Technologies shares fell roughly 12 to 13 percent on October 30, 2026, dragged down by a stark warning from Intel after its third-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings report. Intel issued…
- Market Flux Event
Dallas Fed's Logan Calls for At Least Two More Quarter-Point Rate Hikes Before Any Pause
Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan said on October 30 that the Fed needs to deliver at least two additional 25-basis-point rate increases before any halt to its tightening…
- Market Flux Event
Fed and ECB Officials Flag AI Investment Boom as a Growing Force on Inflation and Policy
Senior central bank officials from both the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank said on October 30 that the surge in artificial intelligence investment is creating measurable…
- Market Flux Event
Fed's Barkin Backs Gradual Rate Increases as Business Cost Pressures Broaden
Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin on Thursday signaled support for a deliberate, step-by-step approach to raising interest rates, saying the direction of travel for the Fed is clear while…
- Market Flux Event
Chicago PMI Slips to 55.3 in October, Missing Forecasts and Falling from September High
The MNI Chicago Business Barometer fell to 55.3 in October, down from 58.8 in September and short of analyst forecasts that had centered on 55.8 to 56.0. The reading still signals expansion…
- Market Flux Event
Canada GDP Flatlines in July and August With September Contraction Signaled
Canada's economy stalled for a second consecutive month in August, following zero growth in July, and Statistics Canada's early data points to a slight contraction in September, capping a…
- Market Flux Event
UK Gilt Yields Hit Five-Week Low After Burnham Budget While US Treasuries Also Retreat
The UK bond market staged a notable recovery after Prime Minister Andy Burnham's debut budget, delivered by Chancellor John Healey on October 28, reassured investors with fiscal restraint…
- Market Flux Event
ECB's Panetta Warns of Worsening Price Outlook and Signals Further Rate Hikes Ahead
European Central Bank Governing Council member Fabio Panetta warned on October 30 that the outlook for prices is worsening and that further increases in policy rates could prove necessary…
- Top Story
Eurozone Q3 GDP Beats at 0.4% as France Contracts and Germany Inflation Tumbles
The eurozone economy grew 0.4% in the third quarter, double the 0.2% consensus estimate and ahead of the prior quarter's 0.6%, with output up 1.3% year over year against an 1.1% forecast…
- Market Flux Event
Gold Falls Below $4,000 as US Inflation Data Fuel Federal Reserve Rate Hike Expectations
Gold dropped below the psychologically significant $4,000 per ounce level and extended losses into a second consecutive session, pressured by stronger-than-expected US inflation data that…
- Top Story
Bank of Japan Holds Rate at 1.25% and Declares Inflation Target Met for First Time Since 2013
The Bank of Japan kept its short-term interest rate target unchanged at 1.25% on Friday, a three-decade high, in an 8-1 vote, while making a landmark declaration that underlying inflation…