Market Flux Event

New Zealand Unemployment Hits 11-Year High as Australia PMIs and Industrial Indexes Signal Broad Contraction

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New Zealand's labor market deteriorated sharply in the third quarter of 2026, with the unemployment rate rising to 5.7%, its highest level since 2015, exceeding the 5.5% forecast and above the prior reading of 5.6%. Employment fell 0.1% quarter on quarter, far below the 0.4% gain expected and reversing the previous 0.3% gain, while the participation rate slipped to 70.4% from 70.7%, also below forecasts. Wage growth continued to cool, with private wages excluding overtime rising just 0.4% for the quarter against the 0.5% forecast and down from 0.7% previously, and average hourly earnings grew only 0.3% after a 1.4% gain in the prior period.

The labor cost index came in at 0.4% quarter on quarter, below the 0.5% forecast, and slowed to 2.0% year on year from 2.1%.

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Sources

  1. FinancialjuiceπŸ”΄ NEW ZEALAND UNEMPLOYMENT RATE ACTUAL 5.7% (FORECAST 5.5%, PREVIOUS 5.6%) $MACRO
  2. LiveSquawkNew Zealand Employment Change (Y/Y) Q3: 0.7% (est 1.6%; prev 1.2%; prevR 0.9%) - Unemployment Rate: 5.7% (est 5.5%; prev 5.6%) - Participation Rate: 70.4% (est 70.7%; prev 70.7%; prevR 70.6%) - Private Wages Ex Overtime (Q/Q): 0.4% (est 0.5%; prev 0.7%) - Private Wages Incl Overtime (Q/Q): 0.5% (est 0.5%; prev 0.7%) - Average Hourly Earnings (Q/Q): 0.3% (prev 1.4%)
  3. PiQMarketsπŸ‡³πŸ‡Ώ New Zealand Labor Cost Index (YoY) (Q3) $NZD Actual: 2% Previous: 2.1%
  4. FirstSquawkAUSTRALIA’S FINAL COMPOSITE PMI CAME IN AT 48.2 AND THE SERVICES PMI AT 48.5, BOTH IN CONTRACTION