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Persian Gulf Oil Exports Top Prewar Levels Despite Iran Attacks on Strait of Hormuz as Brent Hits $110

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Persian Gulf oil exports have risen above prewar levels even as Iran wages one of its most intense campaigns of tanker attacks through the Strait of Hormuz, with flows averaging more than 24 million barrels a day in the week ending October 18, according to ship tracker Kpler. That figure exceeds the 23.3 million barrels per day recorded before the war began, and covers both Strait of Hormuz traffic and alternative routes across the region. The Wall Street Journal reported that an improvised shipping system operating under U.S. protection is enabling tankers to keep moving oil despite the attacks.

The resilience in supply has not stopped crude prices from climbing sharply on risk fears. Brent December futures rose 1.34% to $110.02 on Wednesday, while WTI was eyeing the $101.38 resistance level, supported by an API inventory draw of 4.93 million barrels and continued Houthi missile threats against Saudi oil infrastructure. Natural gas slipped below $3.02.

Global shipping costs for oil have surged roughly sevenfold over the past year as a direct consequence of the Middle East conflict, according to Goldman Sachs, and the bank said those elevated costs are likely to persist. The Red Sea disruptions and Hormuz attack risks are forcing tankers onto longer alternative routes, adding freight expense even when physical volumes hold up.

In equity markets, Bajaj Finance fell 2.9% to 929.2 rupees despite reporting a 23.6% year-over-year rise in net interest income, reflecting the broader risk-off pressure from elevated oil prices on emerging market financial stocks. Separately, China's crude import data from Malaysia and Indonesia released by customs showed reported imports from Iran remained at zero.

© AI-generated summary is provided by Market Flux

Sources

  1. Proactive_XBeetaloo Energy nears first gas at Carpentaria #Oil #Gas #BeetalooEnergy #ASXBTL #BeetalooBasin #CarpentariaPilotProject #NaturalGas #GasExploration #EnergyInvesting
  2. StaunovoThe US' proposal to purchase and employ so-called "shadow fleet" vessels to transport mainstream crude to counter high freight costs may struggle to overcome obstacles, including sanctions from outside the US and insurance risks. The plan to use older, often uninsured tankers that move sanctioned oil was described by US energy secretary Chris Wright in speech on 19 October as moving ships from the "bad guy fleet" to the "good guy fleet." Wright suggested that shadow fleet ships could be sold to non-sanctioned owners "to carry legitimate oil in a legitimate fashion #oott
  3. BusinessOil-product markets are likely to remain tight through mid-2027, even if current war-related disruptions ease, as an “unusually large upswing in refinery maintenance” constrains global supply, according to Morgan Stanley
  4. NDTVProfitAlphaHeadwinds: 🛢️ Brent December futures at $110.02 (+1.34%) on Red Sea shipping risks and threats to Saudi oil infrastructure 🏦 Bajaj Finance down 2.9% to ₹929.2, despite a 23.6% YoY rise in net interest income Full story 👇
  5. FxempireNatural Gas and Oil Forecast: Diesel Shortage Draws Washington In, Can WTI Break $101.38?
  6. CnbcOil prices climb as traders assess Middle East developments
  7. JavierBlasFrom the @WSJ: “Persian Gulf oil exports have surpassed prewar levels, as an improvised shipping system under U.S. protection is helping tankers move oil through one of Iran’s fiercest waves of attacks in the Strait of Hormuz.”
  8. Osint613Oil flows out of the Middle East averaged above 24 million barrels a day in the week ending Oct. 18, according to ship tracker Kpler. That figure tops the 23.3 million recorded before the Iran war, and covers both Strait of Hormuz traffic and alternative routes across the region. WSJ
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