Market Flux Event
Trump Declares Russia-Ukraine Energy Ceasefire but Russia Strikes Ukrainian Power Plants Hours Later
Read this in the Market Flux appPresident Donald Trump announced Sunday that Russia and Ukraine had agreed to an immediate "energy ceasefire," ordering both sides to halt attacks on each other's energy infrastructure. The declaration, posted on Truth Social, came one day after Trump announced a separate deal for Russia to supply 500,000 metric tons of diesel fuel to the United States and global markets, the first such arrangement since 2022. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the administration had existing legal authority to implement the diesel deal and called it good for the American people.
The announcement immediately unraveled on multiple fronts. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy told Axios the ceasefire "was news for me," saying Kyiv had not been informed in advance and learned of it through social media. Senior Ukrainian officials said they wondered "if Putin knows it." Russia's Duma energy committee also said it knew nothing of any energy truce, with its first deputy chairman suggesting Trump was engaging in a verbal intervention to suppress oil prices. Within hours, Russia struck Kharkiv's main heat-and-power facility, CHP-5, and hit a power plant in Kyiv, knocking out 200 megawatts and disrupting water supplies. Zelenskyy confirmed the Kharkiv strike and said Russia had carried out more than 200 attacks on Ukrainian energy infrastructure in the prior week alone, killing more than 150 and injuring over 700.
Zelenskyy nonetheless said Ukraine would accept the ceasefire if Russia complied, and Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney said he had spoken with both Trump and Zelenskyy and called the truce a potential significant de-escalation. The European Commission backed Zelenskyy's call for a ceasefire while also announcing increased EU funding for drones and missiles for Ukraine's defense. The Financial Times reported the US was threatening to block weapons and intelligence sharing with Ukraine if Kyiv continued striking Russian refineries, and was lobbying EU capitals to press Kyiv to halt those attacks. Six senators, in a bipartisan group, called on Trump to immediately reverse the Russian diesel deal, arguing it would finance Putin's war machine and potentially violate US law.
Trump sharpened his public confrontation with Zelenskyy, saying "I think it's time for Ukraine to get a new president" and blaming Zelenskyy for high diesel prices in the United States. Zelenskyy responded that leadership was "up to our people" and offered to hold Ukrainian elections if Putin agreed to a 60-day full ceasefire on the frontline. Trump separately said he ruled out a US strike on Iran before the November 3 midterm elections but warned Iran could "do a little bit extra" before then.
Oil markets reacted to the ceasefire announcement with a sharp pullback. Brent crude fell roughly 1.3-2% to around $104 a barrel, though it remained above $100, and WTI fell near $90. Jim Cramer said he expected crude to hold near $100 while the war continued. Marko Kolanovic called the energy ceasefire a "con," while Fundstrat's Tom Lee saw potential inflation relief. Wheat fell for a fourth session on hopes the ceasefire could ease Black Sea disruptions. Equity futures in the US and Europe edged higher, and Indian shares were expected to open higher on reduced sanctions risk. Gold edged up to around $4,207 an ounce as traders balanced ceasefire hopes against escalating Middle East tensions.
Separately, Houthi forces carried out a sustained campaign of strikes on Saudi Arabia over the weekend. A missile attack on King Khalid International Airport in Riyadh on Saturday killed at least 12 people and wounded 309, including citizens of the United States, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Jordan, Syria, Bangladesh, Palestine and Sudan, making it the deadliest strike on Saudi Arabia since the Yemen war began 11 years ago. A second strike hit Terminal 4 the following day, igniting a fire, and the Houthis also claimed attacks on King Fahd International Airport in Dammam and two Aramco facilities in eastern Saudi Arabia. The US warned American airlines of Saudi airspace risks. Trump said he was considering US participation in Saudi military operations against the Houthis. Canada, Turkey, Pakistan, Egypt and China all condemned the airport attacks.
North Korea fired multiple ballistic missiles toward the East Sea from the Pyongyang area on Monday, with South Korea's military saying the missiles traveled more than 900 kilometers. Seoul convened an emergency National Security Council meeting and demanded an immediate halt, calling the launches a severe breach of UN Security Council resolutions. South Korea's military assessed the launches were intended to demonstrate missile capabilities following Seoul's own recent hypersonic missile test.
© AI-generated summary is provided by Market Flux
Sources
- Osint613Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent on the Russian diesel sanctions relief: the deal benefits Americans, and the administration will use all available legal authority to implement it. Fox News
- FinancialjuiceUkraine President Zelenskiy tells ABC: If Putin agrees to 60-day truce, Ukraine will hold elections
- Maaalnews_EnTrump: Expect Important News Regarding the Diesel Situation
- WarMonitor3Zelenskyy has pledged to hold Ukrainian elections if Putin commits to a 60 day ceasefire on the frontline.
- FirstSquawkZelensky: President Trump should demand that Putin not attack us until we stop targeting Russian energy facilities
- DeItaoneBESSENT SAYS RUSSIAN DIESEL DEAL WILL PROCEED DESPITE LEGAL QUESTIONS Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent says the Trump administration has existing legal authority to implement its Russian diesel supply deal, rejecting claims that congressional legislation could block it. Bessent defended the agreement, saying it would help bring down U.S. diesel prices. “This is good for the American people.”
- BarronsZelensky Pushes Back at Trump's Call to Stop Hitting Russia's Oil Refineries
- BullTheoryioBREAKING: 🇺🇸 President Trump just announced that Ukraine and Russia have agreed to 'Energy Ceasefire'.
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- Amena__BakrTrump announces ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine #OOTT
- PolymarketBREAKING: Trump announces an immediate “energy ceasefire” between Russia & Ukraine, with both countries agreeing to halt attacks on energy infrastructure.
- ThehillLive updates: Zelensky set for Sunday interview amid backlash to Trump’s Russia diesel deal
- JavierBlasBREAKING: US President Donald Trump claims that both Russia and Ukraine have agreed to an "energy truce" (note this is the 2nd time Trump has made a similar announcement, although this time it comes after a Russia-US diesel on diesel)
- BusinessPresident Donald Trump said Sunday that Russia and Ukraine have agreed to an “energy ceasefire” effective immediately.
- BarakRavid🚨🚨🚨President Zelensky told me: "The ceasefire announcement was news for me. But if Russians agree to an energy ceasefire Ukraine will agree. If president Trump negotiated it with Putin - please tell us when the ceasefire begins - we are ready and we will accept it"
- KobeissiLetterBREAKING: Ukraine’s President Zelensky says the energy ceasefire between Ukraine and Russia announced by President Trump just minutes ago “is news to me,” per Axios. “If President Trump negotiated it with Putin, please tell us when the ceasefire begins,” Zelensky said.
- Seeking AlphaTrump announces Russia-Ukraine energy ceasefire amid worries over diesel prices
- InvestingRussia and Ukraine agree to halt energy strikes, Trump says
- KalshiBREAKING: Trump says Russia and Ukraine agreed to an "energy ceasefire" that takes effect immediately
- RalexdcNEW!! As Trump announced an energy ceasefire, two senior Ukrainian officials tell me Kyiv was hearing the statement for the first time -- and wondered “if Putin knows it” Minutes later, a Russian UAV strike hit Kyiv’s Thermal Power Plant-6, knocking out 200 MW and disrupting water supplies across the city
- CnnbrkTrump claims Russia and Ukraine have agreed to what he described as an "energy ceasefire." The announcement comes days after Trump announced a deal with Putin for the US to buy Russian diesel fuel.
- StaunovoPresident Trump claimed Sunday that Russia and Ukraine agreed to an "energy ceasefire" and will halt attacks on each other's energy facilities. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky tells Axios the announcement "was news for me. But if Russians agree to an energy ceasefire, Ukraine will agree." #oott
- DisclosetvJUST IN - Zelensky says Trump's announcement that Russia and Ukraine have agreed to an "energy ceasefire" halting attacks on energy facilities, "was news for me, but if Russians agree to an energy ceasefire, Ukraine will agree." — Axios
- ForbesTrump Says Russia And Ukraine Have Reached ‘Energy Ceasefire’
- EuronewsAfter Donald Trump's criticism blaming Volodymyr Zelenskyy for high diesel prices, suggesting Ukraine should get a new leader, US President announced Russia and Ukraine had agreed on an 'energy ceasefire'. #EuropeNews ➡️
- _MorkieVolodymyr Zelensky offered to hold Ukrainian elections if Russia agrees to a 60-day ceasefire, responding to Trump pressure. 🇺🇦🗳️