Market Flux Event

US July Producer Prices Flat as Energy Costs Ease, Undercutting Inflation Fears

US producer prices were unchanged in July on a monthly basis, missing expectations of a 0.2% gain and following a 0.1% decline in June, according to data released August 13. On an annual basis, the Producer Price Index rose 4.7%, below the 4.9% forecast. Core PPI, which strips out food and energy, climbed 0.2% month-over-month against an expected 0.3%, while the year-over-year core reading came in exactly at the 4.2% estimate.

Lower energy prices were the primary force holding wholesale inflation in check. The softer-than-expected reading adds to a broader disinflation picture that includes a CPI print of 3.5% with core at 2.6%, a weak July jobs report of 57,000 nonfarm payrolls with negative prior revisions, and a GDP miss at 1.5% growth. Analysts noted the combined data may ease pressure on the Federal Reserve to maintain a hawkish stance.

Gold was little changed immediately after the release, last trading down 0.5% at 4,382.22 dollars per ounce.

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Sources

  1. DeItaone*US JULY PRODUCER PRICES UNCHANGED M/M; EST. +0.2% *US JULY PRODUCER PRICES RISE 4.7% Y/Y; EST. +4.9% *US JULY CORE PPI RISES 0.2% M/M; EST. +0.3% *US JULY CORE PPI RISES 4.2% Y/Y; EST. +4.2%
  2. NaeemAslam23US CORE PPI M/M — ACTUAL: 0.2% | FORECAST: 0.3% | PREVIOUS: 0.2%
  3. Capital_HungryPLAYBOOK VIEW — FADING THE HAWKISH CONSENSUS (MARKET ANALYSIS WEBINAR FROM AUGUST 2ND PRIVATE CHANNEL) Curveball Continuation: Disinflation confirmed (CPI 3.5%, core 2.6%, core PCE 3.3% and easing), NFP +57K with negative revisions, GDP miss at 1.5%, oil collapsing sub-80 on
  4. MarketwatchWholesale inflation flattens out in July and price pressure ease
  5. InvestingPPI Final Demand (Jul) 0.0% vs 0.2% Expected
  6. CointelegraphJUST IN: US producer prices were unchanged in July, below expectations for a 0.2% increase.
  7. WsjU.S. Producer-Price Index Unchanged in July
  8. CnbcWholesale prices were flat in July, below expectations for 0.2% increase
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  1. Seeking AlphaJuly CPI Inflation - Not Low Enough