Market Flux Event
US Retail Sales Surged 1.2% in August, Blowing Past Forecasts and Fueling Fed Rate-Hike Pressure
Read this in the Market Flux appU.S. retail sales jumped 1.2% in August, the biggest monthly gain in five months and well above the 0.8% increase economists had forecast, according to Commerce Department data released Wednesday. The result reversed July's 0.5% decline and pointed to renewed consumer momentum heading into the fall.
The strength was broad-based across nearly all of the report's 13 categories. Sales excluding autos rose 1.4%, and the control group, the measure most closely tied to GDP calculations, also climbed 1.4%. Gas stations led all categories with a 3.1% gain, while building materials were the sole category to fall.
Import prices added to the inflation picture, rising 0.7% for the month and 7.0% year over year, with petroleum up 27.3% annually. Export prices increased 0.6% for the month and 8.6% year over year. Together with the control group's outsized gain, the data keeps pressure on the Federal Reserve to hold or raise rates, as demand shows little sign of slowing despite an elevated rate environment.
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Sources
- ZerohedgeAfter last month's huge retail sales miss/drop, real-time BofA card data shows a big beat on deck for August retail sales
- MikeZaccardiMassive +1.4% m/m core control Retail Sales... matches the best since Jan 2023
- OpenOutcrierAUG ADVANCE RETAIL SALES M/M: 1.2% V 0.8%E; RETAIL SALES (EX-AUTO) M/M: 1.4% V 0.5%E AUG IMPORT PRICE INDEX M/M: 0.7% V 0.5%E; Y/Y: 7.0% V 6.5%E
- Seeking AlphaExport prices unexpectedly rise in August; import prices increase more than expected
- NasdaqU.S. Retail Sales Jump Much More Than Expected In August
- MarketwatchRetail sales surged toward the end of summer. Economy still has plenty of momentum.
- MarketRebelsRetail Sales blew past estimates across the board: headline +1.2%, ex-autos +1.4%, Control Group +1.4% (the GDP-relevant one). Only Building Materials fell of 13 categories; gas stations led at +3.1%. Import Prices ran hot too — +0.7%/+7.0% y/y, petroleum up 27.3% y/y. Exports +0.6%/+8.6%, in line. A Control Group print this strong keeps the Fed's hand forced toward hiking — demand isn't slowing down.
- WsjU.S. Retail Sales Rebounded Last Month