Market Flux Event

US Treasury Sells $58 Billion in 3-Year Notes at 4.932% as Demand Softens

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The US Treasury auctioned $58 billion in 3-year notes on October 6, pricing at a high yield of 4.932%, up sharply from 4.474% at the previous auction and just 0.2 basis points through the when-issued yield of 4.934%, a modest stop-through that signals the auction cleared slightly better than pre-sale market pricing.

Demand was softer compared to the prior sale. The bid-to-cover ratio fell to 2.62 from 2.72 previously, indicating less overall interest relative to the amount offered. Indirect bidders, typically foreign central banks and institutional investors, took 57.6% of the auction, down from 62.1% prior. Direct bidders absorbed 31.7%, up from 26.9%, while primary dealers were left holding 10.7% of the allocation, with 8.35% of bids awarded at the high yield. Markets showed little reaction following the results, with 3-year yields largely steady after the print.

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Sources

  1. PiQMarketsMarket Quick Take – Bond yields hit 24-year highs, euro slides, and Nasdaq sets a record - 06 October 2026
  2. SeekingAlphaThe Next Big Move In Interest Rates: How I'm Buying The Dividend Sell-Off $TLT #investing #business #finance
  3. MiningA Dutch pension fund sold 10% of its government bonds and put half the proceeds into gold. Pensioenfonds PDN reached a 5% gold allocation by April 2021. Fairfax County (3%), Now: Pensions UK (2%) and NGS Super in Australia (3%) also built positions in 2020-21. The World Gold Council's case studies point to one reason: US Treasuries have been positively correlated with global stocks since 2022, so the bond hedge stopped working. Gold's correlation has stayed more stable. Gold is up 133% since January 2022 while the 10-year yield rose from 1.63% to 5.26%.
  4. FinancialjuiceTreasury WI 3-year yield 4.934% before $58 billion auction.
  5. MarketRebelsThe Treasury plans to sell $58 billion 3 Year Notes today; the auction results will be announced just after noon CD
  6. LiveSquawkUS 3-Year Note Sale: - High Yield Rate: 4.932% (prev 4.474%) - Bid-Cover Ratio: 2.62 (prev 2.72) - Direct Accepted: 31.7% (prev 26.9%) - Indirect Accepted: 57.6% (prev 62.1%) - WI: 4.934%
  7. WallstengineUS 3-YEAR TREASURY AUCTION High yield: 4.932% vs 4.934% WI, a 0.2 bp stop-through Bid-to-cover: 2.62 vs 2.72 prior Indirects: 31.7% Directs: 31.7%
  8. Cablefxmacro⚖️❗️*US 3Y NOTES DRAW 4.932% VS 4.934% PRE-SALE WHEN-ISSUED US 3-YEAR YIELDS SHOW LITTLE REACTION TO AUCTION
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  1. NasdaqThree-Year Note Auction Attracts Average Demand
  2. DeItaoneTHREE-YEAR U.S. TREASURY CLEARS AT 4.932%, HIGHEST AUCTION YIELD SINCE 2006
  3. Zerohedge*TREASURY DEBT BUYBACK TARGETS COUPONS MATURING IN 2028 - 2029 *TREASURY RECEIVES $14.763B OF OFFERS FOR BUYBACK, ACCEPTS $1.33B *TREASURY ACCEPTS 12 OF 33 ELIGIBLE ISSUES IN DEBT BUYBACK
  4. FirstSquawkTREASURY RECEIVES $14.763B OF OFFERS FOR BUYBACK, ACCEPTS $1.33B; ACCEPTS 12 OF 33 ELIGIBLE ISSUES, TARGETS COUPONS MATURING IN 2028 - 2029
  5. AshCryptoBREAKING: 🇺🇸 US Treasury just bought back $1.32 Billion of its own debt, making a total of $7.32 billion this month.